Esim - Kam in kako vlagati? - 3. del
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Pozdravljeni!

Kot sem obljubil, sledi še zadnji del nadaljevanke in sicer poglavje o zlorabah. Predstavil vam bom sam pojem ter možne oblike zlorab, torej na kakšne načine je sploh mogoče zlorabiti delniško družbo. Seveda pa vam bom orisal tudi situacije, ki se jih je pametno izogibati, če nočete biti opetnajsteni. Če ne poznate prvih dveh delov trilogije vodičev vam priporočam, da preberete prvi in drugi del . Obenem pa apeliram tudi na moderatorje da spoznajo načine in poskusijo kakorkoli vplivati na to, da bo zlorab vse manj.


1. Pojem

Uvodoma naj pojasnim, da je sam pojem zlorabe v igri zelo široko zastavljen (mišljen), definiran pa skorajda ni, razen izjemoma, ko gre za krajo iz skladišča delniške družbe ali prilaščanja valut preko monetarnega trga. Zloraba v mojem pogledu pa bolj meji na nemoralno dejanje, ki pa samo po sebi ni kaznivo, še manj pa je storilca moč preganjati. V bistvu gre za dejanja, kjer večinski lastnik (ponavadi tudi CEO) s spornim ravnanjem pridobiva neprimerno večjo moč v družbi glede na ostale člane.


2. Primeri zlorab

2.1. Pogost primer je ta v katerem je zaporedje dogodkov sledeče:
a)Ustanovitelj zagotovi dovolj veliko število delnic
b) Izda delnice po zelo visoki ceni (vsekakor višji, kot je knjigovodska/dejanska), vendar je teh delnic manj kot pa 50% vseh (zaradi svoje "varnosti" si lastniki radi zadržijo najmanj 60%)
c) neuki ljudje pokupijo delnice, ker se jim ne zdi prav nič sporno, da je delnica tako visoka, vrednost družbe, pa veliko manjša (beri drugi del vodiča, poglavje 2.3.)
d) zgodi se padec vrednosti delnic, ker je vrednost podjetja veliko manjša od nakupne cene delnic (prvi razlog), pa tudi zato, ker ko enkrat igralci ugotovijo, da bodo te delnice težko prodali postavljajo le-te na trg po vedno manjših cenah, seveda pa jih tudi za pol manjšo ceno ponavadi nihče noče kupiti (drugi razlog)... začaran krog
e) Igralci, ki so vložili v d.d. panično prodajajo delnice po nizkih cenah
f)kupuje jih nihče drug kot CEO (večinski lastnik)


Rezultat je znan. Ampak kot sem rekel, ta postopek je povsem običajen, dogaja se pogosto, ponekod bolj, ponekod manj. Priznati moram, da sem do sedaj opazil le nekaj, morda dve ali tri delniške družbe, ki so preživele prve dni brez ogromnega padca vrednosti delnice, seveda so si vodje teh pridobili moje zaupanje. Zadeva je, seveda povsem legalno izplejana, jaz pa jo še vedno dojemam kot zlorabo prve vrste, saj gre za okoriščanje na račun tujega denarja.

2.2.Praktično, gredo vse zlorabe po enakem (zgoraj opisanem) kopitu, le da je ta ponekod udejanjen v večji ali manjši meri, mogoče je preskočena kakšna stopnja. Eden od možnih prevzemov, ki ga pa sam ne bi več imenoval zloraba pa je naslednji: CEO (sploh ni nujno, da je tudi večinski lastnik) krajši čas načrtno niža ceno delnic in ko ta dovolj pade jih pokupi. Temu v RL pravimo meneđerski prevzem in je povsem legalen.


3. Kako se izogniti zlorabam?
Najpotrebneje je imeti znanje. Če uspete uvideti možno zlorabo ste si morda že uspeli prihraniti kakšen gold. Vsem pa priporočam, da z vlaganjem počakate kak teden, dva, celo tri, da se družba ustali, (to prepoznate po umirjenem grafu, brez veliki vzponov in padcev) saj je takrat že več ali manj jasno kakšni so bili nameni ustanovitelja. Če niste sigurni raje ne vlagajte!


Tako, prišel sem do konca zadnjega dela serije vodičev po delničarstvu. Upam da so vam bili v korist, še bolj pa upam, da ste jih prebrali. Na tem mestu še objavim to, da če kdo potrebuje kakršenkoli nasvet o vlaganju ipd. sem na voljo. V prihodnosti morda članke prevedem še v angleščino, vsekakor pa imam še dalje namen pisati o delničarstvu.

Do prihodnjič vas lepo pozdravljam,
ave imperator

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Kam in kako vlagati? - 2. del (13 years ago)

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