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You may remember in my previous article I touched upon what the fact that United Front had more candidates than Rise of UK could mean in terms of votes, culminating by saying that nothing is guaranteed other than the fact that it is a story worth watching. In this article I am going to dive in to electoral trends from the last 3 elections to examine whether Rise of UK could be about to be overshadowed by a much smaller, but ideologically identical, Party and also whether and how The People's Party can exploit and capitalise that to come out with at least 50% of the vote.
The first step towards an answer is to see how RoUK and UF have compared to each other since the April election.
In April, a total of 10 Candidates were fielded, of which 2 were from RoUK and 2 were from UF - a very similar situation to the one which see today. RoUK comfortably defeated UF with 7 votes to 4. In other words, 26.9% to 15.4% of the overall vote share. However it's important to note that since May, The Patriotic Party have ceased to field candidates, and in face a former Patriotic Party candidate is standing for UF - a sign perhaps of a rising Political force. The May election saw a disappointing showing for Rise of UK, who obtained just 4 votes of 23 - a share of 17.4%. They still beat UF who achieved 2 votes - 8.7%. However, it is here that we can see the effect that we could see from The Patriotic Party's absence. PP achieved 2 votes, the same number as UF - and based on ideological similarity and shared candidates (Slapjack was elected for PP in May and is standing for UF this month). If those 2 votes went from PP to UF, then UF would have tied with RoUK.
However, it's in June that things get interesting. Rise of UK field 4 candidate and UF field 2. RoUK obtain 12 votes - or 48% (A sudden spike in support that can be attributed to the absence of TPP big guns
CastoriousBG and 
★ Tulip Farella . UF got just 5 votes and 20%. However, provided that the vote distribution of votes remains pretty much the same, the absence of President 
King_of_the_sidewalk and low number of RoUK candidates, things get interesting. 
law7441 achieved 5 votes last election - the same amount as all UF candidates combined. 
lopnogob (the other RoUK candidate) generally achieves about 3 votes. Giving them a total of 8 votes. If we add on to the UF total of 5, the 2-3 that 
gingereagle1969 (who didn't stand last time) generally achieves, that gives them 7-8. That's without factoring in the votes that either party - though mostly RoUK - generally lose to returning TPP grandees Tulip and Castorious - and these two will decide the fate of British politics based on how many votes they take back.
But that's without discussing the limiting effect of sidewalk voters voting instead for law due to their shared party. However, they could easily vote for UF due to a similar ideology. The effect of those displaced voters is unpredictable and could change everything.
What about TPP? Things look positive. If the effect of the return of Tulip and Castorious is correct, then they will take a lot of votes from all parties and other TPP candidates - and could even attract old sidewalk voters, neutralising their effect in the UF Vs. RoUK battle. I'd be surprised if I don't lose at least 1 vote to these two (though I'd rather not - vote for me!
) so they could certainly take votes from other candidates, with their combined total usually between 10-15 votes - easily obliterating the June total for RoUK (which will probably be less this time).
Based on all of these, my prediction is below. The prediction has a 2 vote margin of error either way, as standard for election predictions. The prediction is correct as long as the amount of votes the parties receive are within the margin of error.
TPP = 15 Votes - 13-17 Votes Range
RoUK = 7 Votes - 5-9 Votes Range
UF = 8 Votes - 6-10 Votes Range
B-TBP (British-Turkish Brotherhood Party) = 1 Vote - 0-3 Votes Range
BJPT (Bobjob's Party Time) = 2 Votes - 0-4 Vote Range
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Congress Nominations Closed - What's going to happen next? (10 years ago)
Next article:
Election Underway - Please vote for me! - I am the voice of the People! (10 years ago)
About the game:
USA as a world power? In E-Sim it is possible!
In E-Sim we have a huge, living world, which is a mirror copy of the Earth. Well, maybe not completely mirrored, because the balance of power in this virtual world looks a bit different than in real life. In E-Sim, USA does not have to be a world superpower, It can be efficiently managed as a much smaller country that has entrepreneurial citizens that support it's foundation. Everything depends on the players themselves and how they decide to shape the political map of the game.
Work for the good of your country and see it rise to an empire.
Activities in this game are divided into several modules. First is the economy as a citizen in a country of your choice you must work to earn money, which you will get to spend for example, on food or purchase of weapons which are critical for your progress as a fighter. You will work in either private companies which are owned by players or government companies which are owned by the state. After progressing in the game you will finally get the opportunity to set up your own business and hire other players. If it prospers, we can even change it into a joint-stock company and enter the stock market and get even more money in this way.
In E-Sim, international wars are nothing out of the ordinary.
Become an influential politician.
The second module is a politics. Just like in real life politics in E-Sim are an extremely powerful tool that can be used for your own purposes. From time to time there are elections in the game in which you will not only vote, but also have the ability to run for the head of the party you're in. You can also apply for congress, where once elected you will be given the right to vote on laws proposed by your fellow congress members or your president and propose laws yourself. Voting on laws is important for your country as it can shape the lives of those around you. You can also try to become the head of a given party, and even take part in presidential elections and decide on the shape of the foreign policy of a given state (for example, who to declare war on). Career in politics is obviously not easy and in order to succeed in it, you have to have a good plan and compete for the votes of voters.
You can go bankrupt or become a rich man while playing the stock market.
The international war.
The last and probably the most important module is military. In E-Sim, countries are constantly fighting each other for control over territories which in return grant them access to more valuable raw materials. For this purpose, they form alliances, they fight international wars, but they also have to deal with, for example, uprisings in conquered countries or civil wars, which may explode on their territory. You can also take part in these clashes, although you are also given the opportunity to lead a life as a pacifist who focuses on other activities in the game (for example, running a successful newspaper or selling products).
At the auction you can sell or buy your dream inventory.
E-Sim is a unique browser game. It's creators ensured realistic representation of the mechanisms present in the real world and gave all power to the players who shape the image of the virtual Earth according to their own. So come and join them and help your country achieve its full potential.
Invest, produce and sell - be an entrepreneur in E-Sim.
Take part in numerous events for the E-Sim community.
