Esim - 两种集体经营模式比较——军团vs股票
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esim中主要有两种集体经营模式,开军团和办股份公司。作为秋叶原公司 的大股东,我对股份公司有一定的了解,同时对军团军垦模式有一些认识,希望和大家分享。
由于我是搞股份公司的,自然希望大家多多投资股票,就和大军团长们希望大家多多军垦一样。但本文希望能做到客观公正进行分析。有不对的地方还请老手们指正。

1、军团模式
军垦的普遍工资是每天10个面包,约合0.56g,但如果你一直玩下去,我相信后期军团都会给你不错的待遇,会超过你生产产品的价值。如果军团中的每个人都一直玩,那么军团在后期就需要亏本运行了,因为一般的军垦厂不对外开放,极限的支付能力就是把你每天产的货物还给你。
当然这是不可能发生的,因为每天都有一些人afk,不继续玩了。这时会发生什么呢?这些人产生的大部分价值都留在了军团内,军团可以用他们产生的价值供应老玩家。假设军团里有1/3的稳定玩家,会玩到关服,其余的人每天工作,但最终会afk,那么这2/3每天就在为稳定玩家创造价值。
所以,军垦工资不是越高越好,而是越低越好!极限情况是共产军团,玩家afk时不带走一分钱,把自己的价值全部留给稳定玩家。这时,稳定玩家每天的收益将是几倍于自己的工作收益!这也是为什么军垦一定要长时间才能显出效果,必须等一部分人afk后,才有额外的收入分配。
但需要指出,即使在军垦后期,每天也有极限收入,所以这种模式不可能是指数增长模式,关于经济增长模式可参阅
资产增长趋势线



2、股票模式
股票的收益有两部分,一是分红收益,二是股票价格增长收益。当然这是对个体户而言。在整个公司的角度看,收入实际分为经营收益和卖股票收益。股票公司需要在市场上招人,大量外来人员都在为公司创造价值。(当然军团也可以对外招工,但大多军团工厂还是只由团员工作的。)这部分构成了经营收益。至于卖股票收益,则是因为股票市场价一般是其实际价值(公司估值/股票数)的三到四倍,所以当公司卖出股票时,会使得公司股票实际价值上升。比如秋叶原公司股价每股实际价值1g,共600股,公司以4g价格卖出了100股,就变成每股实际价值(1*600+4*100)/700=1.43g,共700股了。此时股票市场价会变为1.43*4=5.7g左右。持有股票的人就赚到了。
案例:实际上,秋叶原公司早期股票实际价格为0.6g左右,共400股,现在已经变为1g左右,市场价由2g多涨到4g多。不同时期以不同价格卖出过约180股。这部分大部分靠公司卖股票,少部分靠经营收益的分红结余。
由于股票每周都有分红,分红的收入正比于玩家投入资产,没有上限,所以即使只考虑分红,股票公司的收益也是指数型的。由于市场不稳定,不是总能卖出股票的,所以股票价格增长收益不好确定。当公司卖不出股票时,为了维持股票实际价格的增长可能会降价出售。这对于降价前买入的玩家会导致亏损。不过,只要还有人买股票,长期股市还是看涨的。
股票公司的缺陷也很明显,如果股东afk,他会带走大量资产,造成严重浪费。而这部分资产在军团模式中可以被完美利用,而股票不能凭空消失,会一直影响股份公司的收入分配。

如果喜欢本文,请别忘了v+s,谢谢!欢迎大家批评指正!

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