I was Secretary of the Treasury for about the last year, until this latest term began. For almost the entirety of that year, our economy prospered. It came as a surprise to me, when I was told just after the election, that I was being relieved of my duties. Shocking, really. I'd be kept around as an Economic Advisor though.
And then this happens. A massive shift in policy, happening overnight. It completely took me by surprise. There had been no discussion of it this term. We had discussed it in the previous term, and president Jude Connors agreed at the time that making this change would be a bad move. And yet here it happened, in the literal dark of the night. There was no discussion on the forums. There was no discussion with Congress. I sure wasn't involved in any such discussions. And interestingly, you'll note that comments are disabled on that article. Why would our esteemed Secretary of the Treasury Fredrick Jackson be so set on avoiding discussing such a momentous move? I'm sure I have no idea.
But it seems clear to me that there's really no point in myself continuing in any sort of advisory role, if I'm not going to be brought in on such major discussions. To, y'know, advise. Consider this my resignation.
Now, onto the policy.
The peg is a complicated mechanism. It exists to control the release of currency (USD) into the economy, so that the money supply matches the necessary amount to maintain the peg amount. A certain value of USD correlates to the demand of the economy. USD is constantly being removed from the economy via taxation and via dead people taking it to their graves. So to maintain a steady value, the government must sell USD to counterbalance it. If the economy booms, demand for USD will increase, and the supply needed to maintain that steady value will increase as well. The economy has been booming lately, which has led to a need for currency prints. This USD sells, the government makes gold, the value of the currency is maintained, and all is well.
But what happens if you try to double the strength of the currency overnight, as the government just did? Now you need half as many USD as you have to maintain that value. But you have twice as much as you need floating around. This means your USD isn't selling. It either needs to be bought back, at huge quantities and huge expense, or it will be slowly removed by taxes and attrition. Until the money supply is brought to half the level it was before (all else being equal), the government is not making gold.
But anyone who is holding USD is profiting. Profiting wildly. Each dollar is worth twice what it was before now. I certainly hope nobody in on this decision to double the strength of the USD took the opportunity to stock up on USD before making the move. But the net effect here is the government essentially giving thousands upon thousands of gold to whoever happened to be holding it at the time of the shift. According to the SoT's estimations, there is 400,000 USD in private circulation. That's 8,000 gold worth at the previous value. It's 16,000 gold worth at the new value. That extra 8,000 has to come from somewhere. That gold is either coming from the government coffers, or coming out of future revenues.
This shift is costing the government 8,000 gold. Don't talk to me about gold spent on printing. It's a pittance compared to this. This move takes 8,000 gold out of government coffers, and gives it to whoever happens to be holding the USD out in circulation. And a whole lot of it is held by non-Americans.
Nevermind the short-term damage this shock will cause to our economy. Nevermind the reduction in price flexibility this will inflict upon our raw material markets. This move cost our country an enormous amount of gold, but spurious benefits. This will not destroy our country, but it will hurt.
I will be charitable and attribute this to a misunderstanding of economics. A terribly disappointing one.
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Well, maybe not completely mirrored, because the balance of power in this virtual world looks a bit
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In E-Sim, international wars are nothing out of the ordinary.
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Take part in numerous events for the E-Sim community.