Article
I will try to analyse why Poland declared war to Lithuania from neutral point of view. So dispite the fact I am Lithuanian I will draw the situation from global perspective. hope you'll enjoy this.
Poland's situation during NAP:
When looking at LT-PL NAP we can easily see that Lithuania won more than Poland. I would claim that Poland expected to occupy some lands located in central - southeastern Europe, I mean Hungary and Romania. But cousing of poor help from allies they haven't managed to ramain with gained lands.
At this point, I think it's meaningful to maintain that psychologically it wasn't felt good about present situation in Poland. E. g. much more weaker country like Hungary or Romania has gained more lands than Poland which has been leading country in strenght, population and productivity. So Polands situation was difficult to difine and even more difficult to manage for themselfs. So now I only can guess if Poland's leaving from TM was the diplomatical game or maybe it rather had been a sign of lacking strategy in planning international policy.
Lithuania - most stable country on e-sim.
I claim this not because I'm Lithuanian. I rather point this out, cause my country allways has managed to achieve what it has sought. And it successfully uses both of aiming ways - diplomatical and war.
Dispite the fact Lithuania hasn't managed to remain in Balkans for longer, its main goal - Saxony was achived. The stability is the proper word to discribe situation during the NAP.
Lithuania, at least, could expect war against Poland if the situation of Poland's would have evaluated.
As negative side of NAP to my country , we can designate that there actually weren't any lands to conquere. So it might cause boreness.
Picture shows the great battle of Žalgiris (Grunwald). Then LT and PL were allies. That caused the victory. Present situation on e-sim differs from what we see on picture. Two most powerfull countries gonna battle each other.
So who will win?
If it was basketball i would say Lithuania wins
Now get seriuos.
We all have seen those stange battles so-called Poland vs Poland. I don't know details but just can guess if it' been some trainnig in terms of timing, accuracy and most important organization. I think the war LT-PL will be about proper use of damage: avoid of wasting, good choises of drain battles and right timing.
Actually all this depends on richness and ability to use gold in proper way.
Polands advantages are strengh and population. Dont forget Silesia the richest region on e-sim. Lithuania, either Poland must, needs to make and clearly difine the priors of regions it wants to save or to gain (conquer) during this war.
Lithuania has a lot of powerfull MU which can strike accurate but Poland did trainings at this point.
I write this article when Dainava and Mazuria battles aint over. But Poland's already proved that they can deal tremandous amout of damage.
All in all, I would claim that there will be no winner in this war. Both sides are too strong to be defeated. But still I think if Lithuania will not loose its core regions, but it will loose some colonies.
Poland would not gain new lands and it is possible to loose some core regions. Why? I would claim that Poland will not be able to deal such amout of damage for long. Lithuania has stronger allies which keeps Poland sorrounded if we look at map.
If not fun's and venturesome's hunting I actually see no point of this war (in terms of economical benefit). But it is the game, and game is allways about argue between oposite sides.
So good luck to Lithuania and Poland on the battlefield.
Thanks for reading and sorry for mistakes
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Analisys of LT-PL war (13 years ago)
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