Esim - 【统计/Statistics】活跃人口什么的...Who is alive..?
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总感觉外交部除了管打仗以外啥都在做....
Always feeling that the MoFA of eC are doing everything except battle...


一、前言
Introduction~☆


那啥,最近闲来无事把整个e-sim 1F 52个国家自成立以来的国会选举投票数统计了一遍



由于e-sim游戏机制规定:国会选举每月一次,并且公民必须升到7级才能投票

再加上国会选举关系到一个国家的前途——也就是说稍微活跃点的e-sim玩家都会抽空投票

故,

每个月的国会选举总票数从一定程度上反映出了该国的活跃人口数

而1F已经成立了800+天,大部分国家已经经历过一次完整的新人潮
(即人口增长后下落)

嘛,咱就把各个国家的历史投票数分别绘制出折线图什么的


Ummm...I made a graph about the total votes of Congress Election of each e-countries..
(From 9.2011 to 12.2013)

According to e-sim mechanism, citizens *have to* be Lv.7 to participate the Congress Election, and any player who care about his/her nation will vote.

Thus, it is reasonable to measure a e-country's active player by its votes.

As primera has opened for 800+ days, most of the e-countries have already been through a least one "Baby boom"


二、方法与数据
Method and Data


首先要感谢 kawashiro_nitori 帮咱收集了所有的源数据~~~

还有 Juhabach MaskerMoumoSa 帮咱扒囧统大选总投票的数据,由于两个投票的关联性较好,所以咱就只放国会选举的投票了~~~


以下图表按照各国自成立以来的平均活动人口数(得票数),进行排名

First, thanks for kawashiro_nitori helping me collect ALL the data, and Juhabach , MaskerMoumoSa helped me collect the total votes of Presidential Election,

Yet, as the two data are quite similar, I will only use the date of *Congress Election*, just to make it simple.

The graphs below is sorted by the "Average citizen" of one nation (since it opened)



数据较多,请善用“ctrl+F”搜索国家

嫌麻烦的话可以直接跳到后面看分析~

There are plenty of graphs, so...

Please make a good use of "ctrl+F"


先是平均人口(得票)超过100的,共有26个国家

Firstly, the average citizen more than 100


1、波兰;Poland

平均人口772




2、立陶宛;Lithuania

平均人口461




3、塞尔维亚;Serbia

平均人口368




4、希腊;Greece

平均人口278



5、匈牙利;Hungary

平均人口272



6、瑞典;Sweden

平均人口271


7、印尼;Indonesia

平均人口257


8、美国;USA

平均人口246


9、保加利亚;Bulgaria

平均人口246


10、土耳其;Turkey

平均人口237


11、意大利;Italy

平均人口211


12、克罗地亚;Croatia

平均人口206


13、罗马尼亚;Romania

平均人口196


14、法国;France

平均人口192


15、斯洛文尼亚;Slovenia

平均人口192


16、葡萄牙;Portugal

平均人口184


17、俄罗斯;Russia

平均人口180


18、伊朗;Iran

平均人口172


19、中国;China

平均人口154


20、菲律宾;Philippines

平均人口147


21、拉脱维亚;Latvia

平均人口146


22、西班牙;Spain

平均人口139


23、以色列;Israel

平均人口139


24、乌克兰;Ukraine

平均人口126


25、巴西;Brazil

平均人口118


26、马其顿;Republic of Macedonia

平均人口116



然后是平均人口低于100的,由于投票数过少,所以可能无法呈现出一个比较经典的变化趋势
Then is the average citizen below 100, as the total number is relatively small, it may not present a classic tendency


27、英国;UK

平均人口99


28、德国;Germany

平均人口81


29、荷兰;Netherlands

平均人口77


30、芬兰;Finland

平均人口70


31、加拿大;Canada

平均人口68


32、阿根廷;Argentina

平均人口66


33、澳大利亚;Australia

平均人口55


34、波黑;Bosnia and Herzegovina

平均人口55


35、墨西哥;Mexico

平均人口54


36、爱沙尼亚;Estonia

平均人口53


37、孟加拉;Bangladesh

平均人口53



38、台湾;Taiwan

平均人口52


39、爱尔兰;Ireland

平均人口52


40、挪威;Norway

平均人口50


41、巴基斯坦;Pakistan

平均人口49


42、印度;India

平均人口46


43、哥伦比亚;Colombia

平均人口46


44、秘鲁;Peru

平均人口45


45、瑞士;Switzerland

平均人口43


46、马来西亚;Malaysia

平均人口42


47、智利;Chile

平均人口40


48、韩国;South Korea

平均人口37


49、比利时;Belgium

平均人口35


50、捷克;Czech Republic

平均人口32


51白俄罗斯;Belarus

平均人口26


52、泰国;Thailand

平均人口14



三、分析什么的
Analyse~❤


姆,话说能看到这里也不容易了...

先定义下新/死人潮(咱个人的标准)

新人潮:人口(投票数)连续增长超过三个月
死人潮:非新人潮的时间段


The definition of Baby boom/AFK period,

Baby boom: population(votes) increase more than 3 months
AFK period: Not Baby boom period.



总的来说,整个e-sim正死人潮中
(为保证准确性,以下结论基本不涉及平均人口数低于100的国家,除非特别说明)

除了像新开的国家(菲律宾,孟加拉,泰国)这种没有经历过完整新人潮的,

49个国家里就只有天朝、印尼、小巴(平均人口数低于100)印度(平均人口数低于100)马来西亚(平均人口数低于100)在最近三个月内投票数持续增长

而且只有天朝现在的人口超过了历史峰值

但有些欧洲国家的人口较历史峰值并没少太多,具体为:匈牙利,意大利,克罗地亚,拉脱维亚
(平均人口低于100的没有算,因为总数太少)

部分国家都是在一个“稳定期”,即最近4个月内人口并未持续(或显著)下降,

除了上述4个国家外,具体为:波兰(最近一个月有显著增长),塞尔维亚,希腊,保加利亚,土耳其(疑似新人潮中),斯洛文尼亚,俄罗斯,乌克兰——8个国家


嘛,发生新人潮的国家并不意味着就一定强大,毕竟e-sim是个积累型的游戏~~~

一个老玩家打Q5的战斗力足以顶上很多力量1000+的新人,

何况他们还有高经济技能——也就是高生产力的保障~

死人潮的人数可以透露出老妖们的数量

故,能维持一个长而稳定,而且人数较多的死人潮的国家大多不好惹.....

嗯,拿天朝举个栗子,在上次16个月的死人潮中,咱们有11个月维持在50人左右,因此可以大致得出现在天朝的活跃老妖大概有50人
(这在老牌国家中排名较低,波兰的数据为400+)



其他国家的......咱有些累了....(其实是懒)...所以各位自己看吧~~~

嘛嘛,这个分析还有很多很多不准确的地方,比如基本没用任何分析软件

大家有什么建议就说下呗~~~

Generally, the whole e-sim is dying...
(For the accuracy of the conclusion, unless mentioned, the e-countries with average below 100 is not count in the analyse below )

Except the new-opened e-countries (ePH, eBangladesh, eTailand), Only eChina and eIndonesia have a increased population in last three months.

And only eChina now has the active player more than historical peak...

Yet, actually, some European e-countries has a population similar to their historical peak——
Hungary, Italy, Croatia, Latvia

Some of the e-countries seem at a "stable period", which means no significant changes of the votes
except the 4 e-countries just mentioned, they are——Poland, Serbia, Greece, Bulgaria, Turkey, Slovenia, Russia, Ukraine

Also, votes in AFK period might indicates how many elders in that country~

Well. this analyse is not so accurate, as I didn't use any statistics software like SPSS (just because I am lazy..)


就酱~


——————————————————————————————————————————————


Signing: Maribel Hearn


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