Esim - China inflation hits seven-month high in September
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China inflation hits seven-month high in September

中国在九月的通货膨胀创下七个月内新高





Beijing (AFP) - Chinese inflation hit a seven-month high of 3.1 percent in September, latest data showed, with analysts warning further upward pressure on prices would restrict the government's options to boost the economy.

北京(法新社)--最新数据显示,中国9月份的通货膨胀创下7个月内的新高,分析人士警告更进一步的价格上行压力会抑制政府促进经济的期望。

The rise in the consumer price index (CPI), a main gauge of inflation in the world's second-largest economy, was sharply up from the 2.6 percent logged in August, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

根据国家统计局(NBS)的数据,世界第二大经济体的通货膨胀的主要衡量标准,消费价格指数(CPI)从8月份的2.6%大幅上扬。

It was also ahead of expectations of 2.9 percent in a poll by Dow Jones Newswires.

之前道琼斯通讯社的预测是不会超过2.9%。

A spike in food prices was the main driver of the increase, and authorities blamed national holidays in late September and early October, along with floods and drought in some areas.

食品价格的上涨是增长的主要因素,当局将之归因于9月低和10月初的假期和一些地方的洪灾和旱灾。

Cooling temperatures with the onset of autumn, rising travelling costs and a hike in fuel prices were also factors, NBS analyst Yu Qiumei said in a statement.

国家统计局的分析师于秋梅认为,随着天气转冷,上涨的出行费用和燃料价格的上涨也是影响因素。

In the first nine months of the year, the CPI was at 2.5 percent, the NBS said.

国家统计局说今年前9个月的平均CPI为2.5%。

September's figure was still below Beijing's annual target of 3.5 percent for the year, but higher than the central bank's benchmark one-year deposit rate of three percent, meaning savers' bank deposits will lose purchasing power over time.

9月份的数据仍然低于北京通胀3.5%的年度指标,但是比央行一年期的基准利率3%要高,意味着储户的银行存款的购买力随随时间下降。

Economists warned that inflation was likely to pick up further in the rest of the year, leaving the government little leeway for policy easing.

经济学家警告说通货膨胀在今年剩下的时间内可能进一步走高。使政府的政策调整留有的余地不大。

"CPI inflation will be edging towards the cap at 3.5 percent and home prices are rising at annual rate around 9.0 percent," analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch in Hong Kong said in a research note.

“CPI通货膨胀率将在绕着3.5%的边缘运行,住房价格将以年均约9%的速度上涨,”美国银行香港办事处的分析人士在一个研究报告中中说。

"We expect Premier Li (Keqiang) will very likely 'taper' his pro-growth rhetoric and will gradually gear towards a more neutral stance," they added.

他们补充说:“我们预料李(克强)总理将很能微调他的增长论调,逐步采取于更中立性的立场。”

China is a major driver of the global economy but is coming off its worst annual economic performance since 1999, after gross domestic product (GDP) managed an expansion of just 7.7 percent last year.

中国是世界经济的主要发动机,但是继去年国内生产总值(GDP)设法完成7.7%的增长率后,今年却可能迎来自1999年以来的最差年度经济增长表现.

In the final three months of 2012, growth accelerated to 7.9 percent, but has since slowed to 7.7 percent in the January-March period and 7.5 percent in the second quarter.

在2012年的四季度,经济增长率飙升至7.9%,但在2013年一季度降到7.7,二季度降到7.5%。

The government has introduced some measures to stimulate growth since late June, including a mini fiscal stimulus for rail and urban fixed-asset investment, tax cuts and keeping monetary policy loose.

6月末,政府出台了一些刺激经济增长的政策,包括对城乡固定资产投资的小规模财政刺激,减税和宽松的货币政策。

China's producer price index (PPI), which measures goods prices at the factory gate, rose 0.2 percent month-on-month in September, according to the NBS.

根据国家统计局的数据,9月份衡量出厂商品价格的中国的生产价格指数(PPI)较上月上涨了0.2%。

It edged up from 0.1 percent in August, which was the first increase in six months and came after five months of falling producer prices.

8月份较上月微升了0.1%,这是生产价格在5个月连续下降后的首次上升。

The PPI figure "shows that market demand is becoming more active and the macro economy is stabilising and rebounding", Yu said.

PPI指数“表明市场需求更加活跃,微观经济在稳定反弹,”于说。

Yao Wei, a Hong Kong-based economist with Societe Generale, said the improvement suggested some industrial producers had resumed, but cautioned that the development might not be sustainable.

兴业银行香港分支机构的经济学家姚伟说增长暗示一些工业生产已恢复,但要注意增长并不一定能持续。

"The question is how long it could last if the momentum of infrastructure investment were to be dampened by limited credit easing," she said in a research note.

“问题是有限的信贷放松是否会挫伤基础设施投资的增长势头,”她在一个研究报告中说。

China's economy has shown signs of rebounding after a string of strong data in recent months indicated growth may accelerate.

最近几个月,一系列强势数据预示着中国经济增长可能加速的迹象。

The government announced two weeks ago that Chinese manufacturing activity strengthened last month to its highest level in 17 months, while a closely watched private survey released by HSBC showed a slight gain from August.

政府在两周前宣布中国上个月的制造活动达到了17个月的新高,然而汇丰银行发布的私人调查显示比8月份增长有限。

But an unexpected drop in September's exports, which analysts said was due to the national holidays and a strong local currency, has cast some shadows on the outlook for recovery.

但是9月份的出口出乎意料地下降,分析说这可能归因于国庆和人民币的坚挺,为增长蒙上了一层阴影。

The government is scheduled to release GDP growth for the third quarter on Friday.

政府计划于周五发布第三季度的CDP增长率。

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